Sunscreen Ranker Independent ranker
Skin Cancer Prevention

Melanoma by the Numbers: 2026 Projections

234,680 new cases this year — here's what the data actually says.

By the numbers

Invasive melanoma diagnoses rose ~46.6% over the decade 2016-2026 (Skin Cancer Foundation).

Five or more sunburns roughly doubles a person's lifetime risk of melanoma.
What the evidence shows

Frequently asked questions

What does the ABCDE mole rule mean?

ABCDE is a checklist for spotting possible melanoma: Asymmetry, Border irregularity, Color variation, Diameter greater than about 6 mm (a pencil eraser), and Evolving size, shape or color. Any mole meeting these — or simply changing — warrants a dermatologist's evaluation.

How many sunburns increase skin cancer risk?

Risk rises with cumulative burns: research links five or more sunburns to roughly double the risk of melanoma, and even one blistering sunburn in childhood or adolescence more than doubles lifetime risk. Preventing burns at every age meaningfully lowers risk.

Does skin cancer affect darker skin tones?

Yes. People with darker skin get skin cancer less often but are frequently diagnosed later, when it's harder to treat — and melanoma can appear in less sun-exposed areas like the palms, soles and under the nails. Everyone, regardless of skin tone, should use sun protection and watch for changes.

What people are asking

r/SkincareScience: 'Does sunscreen actually lower skin cancer risk, or is that marketing?'

Sources & citations

More on Skin cancer

← All articles